Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.174931 0.190615 0.207264 0.226287 0.247463 0.270359 0.297049
2026-02-08 0.144343 0.165953 0.190432 0.220367 0.256185 0.297916 0.350583
2026-02-15 0.125683 0.150098 0.179074 0.216308 0.263326 0.321321 0.399198
2026-02-22 0.115540 0.142309 0.175311 0.219500 0.277900 0.353551 0.460822
2026-03-01 0.105824 0.133652 0.169044 0.218079 0.285408 0.376352 0.511543
2026-03-08 0.097315 0.125554 0.162438 0.215071 0.289799 0.394543 0.557011
2026-03-15 0.089358 0.117413 0.154904 0.209791 0.290041 0.406283 0.593614
2026-03-22 0.086211 0.115441 0.155448 0.215618 0.306373 0.442552 0.671338
2026-03-29 0.082904 0.112930 0.154924 0.219661 0.320159 0.476013 0.748392
2026-04-05 0.078899 0.109100 0.152152 0.219988 0.328051 0.500714 0.813575
2026-04-12 0.073468 0.102833 0.145349 0.213554 0.324540 0.506338 0.845932
2026-04-19 0.068391 0.096780 0.138462 0.206427 0.319195 0.508184 0.871342
2026-04-26 0.064341 0.092133 0.133564 0.202329 0.318888 0.519238 0.916605
2026-05-03 0.060383 0.087424 0.128308 0.197308 0.316648 0.526785 0.956447
2026-05-10 0.057110 0.083580 0.124160 0.193780 0.316626 0.538210 1.005415
2026-05-17 0.055490 0.082209 0.123824 0.196578 0.327957 0.571678 1.104509
2026-05-24 0.053154 0.079566 0.121261 0.195334 0.331779 0.591127 1.176394
2026-05-31 0.050720 0.076636 0.118047 0.192702 0.332741 0.604963 1.237724
2026-06-07 0.048085 0.073246 0.113880 0.188077 0.329503 0.609938 1.279251
2026-06-14 0.047436 0.073073 0.115085 0.193180 0.345409 0.655851 1.425254
2026-06-21 0.046537 0.072430 0.115439 0.196719 0.358503 0.697252 1.567519
2026-06-28 0.045138 0.070872 0.114115 0.197006 0.365008 0.724971 1.679514
2026-07-05 0.042858 0.067714 0.109826 0.191373 0.358813 0.723590 1.713517